Nicaraguan election today - Political Forum

francois60 · #1 (**permalink**) 11-05-2006, 08:15 PM

Ortega leads in the polls, but probably won't win the first round. If he doesn't win the first round, he probably won't win a runoff.

However, he does have a chance this time around. Any thoughts?

superbug · #2 (**permalink**) 11-05-2006, 08:54 PM

So is Carter going to bless this one as well?

CHUQ · #3 (**permalink**) 11-07-2006, 04:58 AM

ORTEGA CLOSE

Ortega poised to return in Nicaragua | The Guardian | Guardian Unlimited

CHUQ · #4 (**permalink**) 11-09-2006, 05:59 AM

Ortega wins--does that mean another bs conflict in the area?

francois60 · #5 (**permalink**) 11-09-2006, 12:53 PM

Not unless he tries to subvert Nicaragua's democracy. Here's his constraints:

1) A legislature not in his party's hands.
2) He can only serve one five-year term.

As long as he doesn't try to abolish congress or change the constitution to extend his Presidency, there won't be any problems.

CHUQ · #6 (**permalink**) 11-13-2006, 05:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by francois60

Not unless he tries to subvert Nicaragua's democracy. Here's his constraints:

1) A legislature not in his party's hands.
2) He can only serve one five-year term.

As long as he doesn't try to abolish congress or change the constitution to extend his Presidency, there won't be any problems.

Just thought it might be an interesting turn

Nicaragua's Ortega Vows Close U.S. Ties | World Latest | Guardian Unlimited

francois60 · #7 (**permalink**) 11-13-2006, 09:02 AM

Ortega seems to me to be a completely changed man. His victory speech was very conciliatory to the majority of the country who did not vote for him.

CHUQ · #8 (**permalink**) 11-13-2006, 09:56 AM

Again, he is a politician and must travel whichever way the political winds blow. If he is not concilatory we may have another front on the war on terror.

francois60 · #9 (**permalink**) 11-13-2006, 10:41 AM

Chavez is a politician as well, but he doesn't mind alienating half the country.

Revolutionaries don't tend to care much about public opinion. Ortega is apparently no longer a revolutionary.