# of Republicans in U.S. Increases to 2-Yr. Hi. Democrats #s Falling. - Political Forum

superdude17* · 01-01-2008, 09:11 PM

Source: Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election.

Quote:

The number of Americans who consider themselves to be Republicans jumped nearly two percentage points in December to 34.2%. That’s the largest market share for the Republican brand in nearly two years, since January 2006.
At the same time, the number of Democrats fell to 36.3%. That’s down a point compared to a month ago. During 2007, the number of Democrats has ranged from a low of 35.9% in July to a high of 37.8% in February.

These results are based upon tracking surveys of 15,000 adults per month. The margin of sampling error is less than one percentage point, with a 95% level of confidence. Please keep in mind that figures reported in this article are for all adults, not Likely Voters.

Back in May, the Republicans fell to their lowest level of party identification of the past four years (30.8%). Then, the immigration debate raged in Congress and some Republican legislators helped defeat an unpopular Senate immigration bill. Republicans have gained ground in five of the seven months since then. But, the gains in December—1.7 percentage points—matched the total gains for the previous six months combined.

The December gains for the GOP coincide with increased public confidence in the War on Terror. It’s interesting to note that this did not improve President Bush’s Job Approval ratings while helping the Republican Party overall.

The gap between the parties now shows a 2.1 percentage point advantage for the Democrats. That’s the smallest advantage for the Democrats since January 2006. It represents a dramatic change from the previous five months when the gap favored Democrats by a margin between 4.5 and 4.9 percentage points each and every month.

A year ago at this time, the Democrats had a 6.9 percentage point advantage as they prepared to formally take control of Congress following their victories in Election 2006. It remains to be seen whether the Republican gains can last, but it is startling to note that the Democrats have lost two-thirds of the partisan advantage since taking control of Congress.

Democrats continue to have a significant advantage on ten key issues tracked by Rasmussen Reports. Nancy Pelosi's Party also holds a solid lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot. Pelosi herself is viewed favorably by 38% and unfavorably by 51% of voters nationwide. At her peak, shortly after becoming the first woman Speaker of the House, Pelosi was viewed favorably by 49% of voters.

This for sure won't be heard on the MSM. Maybe Fox News. The truth is, at heart I believe most Americans WANT to be Republicans, because of the optimism, fiscal responsibility and fair play for which the GOP typically stands for. The past several years have been tough for the GOP (unpopular Iraq war, out-of-control spending, scandals); the Dems should have been able to mop up. This poll shows the resilience of the party after only one year of Democratic control of Congress.

We can thank great candidates like Giuliani, Thompson, Hunter and Huckabee for spreading the core values that Republicans stand for.

Roycerson · 01-01-2008, 09:20 PM

OR.... It could be Paul supporters previously registered as independents or libertarian changing their registration to republican to vote in their states primaries. I know at least some of it is because I know people who have done so.

Charleston Patriot · 01-01-2008, 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Roycerson

OR.... It could be Paul supporters previously registered as independents or libertarian changing their registration to republican to vote in their states primaries. I know at least some of it is because I know people who have done so.

That is still a large chunk of votors changing to Republicans instead of changing to Democrats

superdude17* · 01-01-2008, 09:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Roycerson

OR.... It could be Paul supporters previously registered as independents or libertarian changing their registration to republican to vote in their states primaries. I know at least some of it is because I know people who have done so.

Highly doubtable. I don't consider a large portion of Ron Paul supporters as Republicans. As soon as he drops out they will vote for a democrat or not at all. There are many reasons. We can thank Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid and their failed war policies, which they somehow continue to want to try and pass in Congress. We can thank the improving conditions of the Iraq War as well. McCain's pathetic campaign is a complete result of that. At the same time, republicans have never drawn large numbers. We can thank our President who has been reaching out to the middle class with tax breaks over the last year. And, again with foreign policy, Condoleeza Rice and the state department who have made this contry more stable than ever.

Another point to take into consideration is after glancing at the different candidates speaking in Iowa (which is another topic, the way Iowans are treated) that republicans draw a lot fewer constituents to the speeches than democrats, minus Rudy. He is the only republican I have seen that has been able to fill a gymnasium. The other ones, including Mitt, have been reserved to someone's house or cafe or something. But thats the nature of the republican party. Its easier to get a city registered than it is a rural/suburban area where people don't want government around their lives.

superdude17* · 01-02-2008, 12:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MountainMike

Yet more RepublicSpam!

how is this spam? its based off of pure fact....Rasmussen is a very reliable polling service, even though I disagree with it at times.

VoiceofReason · 01-03-2008, 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Roycerson

OR.... It could be Paul supporters previously registered as independents or libertarian changing their registration to republican to vote in their states primaries. I know at least some of it is because I know people who have done so.

The survey doesn't track voter registration, it tracks the individuals view of themselves. And I think most states like my own do not require you to declared beforehand but only when you show up to vote and you have to choose which ballot you want to vote on.

FRYandBENDER · 01-03-2008, 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by superdude17*

how is this spam? its based off of pure fact....Rasmussen is a very reliable polling service, even though I disagree with it at times.

lol, like when it says something you don't like.

Troianii · 01-03-2008, 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by superdude17*

Source: Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election.

This for sure won't be heard on the MSM. Maybe Fox News. The truth is, at heart I believe most Americans WANT to be Republicans, because of the optimism, fiscal responsibility and fair play for which the GOP typically stands for. The past several years have been tough for the GOP (unpopular Iraq war, out-of-control spending, scandals); the Dems should have been able to mop up. This poll shows the resilience of the party after only one year of Democratic control of Congress.

We can thank great candidates like Giuliani, Thompson, Hunter and Huckabee for spreading the core values that Republicans stand for.

Intriguing... This probably has something to do with Ron Paul winning independents, although in the general elections Republicans tend to have the most sway with independents. I think that the most interesting thing to note is that, to my knowledge, Democrats have had a majority since the day I was born. Republicans have fewer voters, but are better organized and more likely to vote. If this is all true, party affiliation as close as this is very good for the Republicans.