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I think that if Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giuliani, or some other two-man combination, actually get into the lead to the point where other candidates don't receive many delegates at all, the convention might well become deadlocked.
The primary process used to be a voting process at the Party Convention by the delgates from each state. The state parties would chose their delegates, and the delegates would go to the convention and put the states vote forward for the candidate they chose.
Following the controversial 1968 election, the Democratic party, reacting to demands by it's base, formed the process with the McGovern-Frasier commision as we know know it. Now the delegates still go and vote at the Party Convention, but in nearly every state they are bound to vote how the party members voted in a special primary election.
So basically, the power is now in the hands of the general public and not the party elite now. Before the 1972 Election, there were no general electorate party member primary votes.
OK, I see what you're saying now. I wasn't specifically referring to the general electorate party member primary system.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows a new national leader in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. While enjoying an amazing surge, Mike Huckabee has earned support from 20% of Likely Republican Primary Voters nationwide. Three points back, at 17%, is Rudy Giuliani. That’s the lowest level of support ever recorded for Giuliani in the tracking poll and represents a seven-point decline over the past week. Huckabee has gained eight points during the same time frame (see recent daily numbers).
Just as significant as the new leader is the amazingly competitive nature of the race. Five candidates are within ten points of the lead and all five could conceivably become the party’s eventual nominee. In addition to Huckabee and Giuliani, John McCain and Mitt Romney are at 13%, and Fred Thompson is at 10% (see recent daily numbers). In what could become a major moment in the campaign, Romney will give a speech on faith and religion Thursday. Huckabee recently declined to comment on Romney’s faith but did say it was appropriate to discuss religion in a campaign setting (see video).
Ron Paul is the only other candidate with measurable support and he currently attracts 7% of Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide. "
In some ways this is good for Thompson. It shows that the race is super fluid and anyone can find themselves in the lead between now and when the race is decided.
Your best bet is to go with Real Politics numbers. RP averages several polls together to give you the average support someone has. It is perennially linked in my signature.
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Rudy Giuliani would be a very good choice for our next president indeed. His numbers will go back up. He is the most popular politician running, and by far the most popular on the Republican side.
Anyway after seeing Giuliani make an ass out of himself along with Romney I am now convinced neither of them would make good presidents. Why, Romney even flip-flopped in that last debate.
Anyway after seeing Giuliani make an ass out of himself along with Romney I am now convinced neither of them would make good presidents. Why, Romney even flip-flopped in that last debate.
That has to have hurt both of them. It's odd the way that it's turned out, but it shows that they both considered each other their biggest rivals. If they stop bickering than they will probably rise in the polls, the both of them. That's one of the reasons why Huckabee has done well. He has poor fundraising, a poor campaign team, but he's positive - few negatives. He also has Chuck Norris.
That has to have hurt both of them. It's odd the way that it's turned out, but it shows that they both considered each other their biggest rivals. If they stop bickering than they will probably rise in the polls, the both of them. That's one of the reasons why Huckabee has done well. He has poor fundraising, a poor campaign team, but he's positive - few negatives. He also has Chuck Norris.
I must have missed it, how did Romney flip-flop?
Romney was given a question about waterboarding. Don't exactly remember everything word-for-word but I think I get the basic idea.
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