New Hampshire: 2008 Presidential Election - Political Forum

superdude17* · #1 (**permalink**) 09-22-2007, 08:49 PM

Source: Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election.

Quote:

While most attention focuses on New Hampshire’s role as the first in the nation Primary, the state is also a key swing state in general elections. Over the last five Presidential elections, Democrats have won three times and the Republicans twice.

At this very early stage in the Election 2008 cycle, the state looks competitive once again. Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton has just a single point advantage over Republican hopeful Rudy Giuliani (43% to 42%) and is even with both Mitt Romney (both at 42%) and John McCain (both at 43%). Clinton does enjoy an eleven point edge over the newest entrant in the race, Fred Thompson (48% to 37%).

Those figures reflect a very slight improvement for the GOP prospects compared to a month ago. The biggest gainer has been John McCain who trailed Clinton by ten points a month ago. Support for Clinton has remained stable but McCain has bounced back a bit both in New Hampshire polling and in the national polls.

New Hampshire voters are likely to see a lot of campaign commercials this year, even after Primary Day has passed. In addition to a close race for the state’s four Electoral College votes, former Governor Jeanne Shaheen (D) has said she wants a re-match against incumbent Senator John Sununu (R). Rasmussen Reports polling shows Shaheen has the early lead.

National polling on the Presidential race shows Clinton essentially even with Giuliani and McCain. She holds a modest lead over Thompson and a slightly larger lead over Romney.

In New Hampshire, Clinton is viewed favorably by 44% of Likely Voters and unfavorably by 54%.

McCain’s numbers are just the opposite—54% favorable and 44% unfavorable. However, Clinton is well liked by Likely Democratic Primary Voters. McCain doesn’t fare so well among those likely to vote in the Republican Primary.

Giuliani is viewed favorably by 51%, Romney by 46% and Thompson by 40%.

Romney’s lead in the GOP primary is shrinking. But, a Rasmussen Reports analysis of the GOP race suggests that nomination contest is getting more fluid, not less.

See survey questions and top-line results. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Hillary is supposed to be much further ahead in these liberal states. Not a good sign for her camp. Great showing for Rudy and Mitt. Fred, another sign why it won't work....

Big Brother · #2 (**permalink**) 09-22-2007, 11:35 PM

http://http://www.blogsforfredthompson.com/analyzing-fred-thompsons-strong-rasmussen-poll-numbers]

Guess it depends on who you ask..

superdude17* · #3 (**permalink**) 09-22-2007, 11:36 PM

of course he would twist it that way. what, is he going to say he isn't polling well? lol.

fred thompson isn't going anywhere but down.

Big Brother · #4 (**permalink**) 09-22-2007, 11:40 PM

So Guiliani scores big in a North Eastern Liberal state like NH. No one expects Thompson to win New Hampshire. Let's see how well Guiliani does down South.

Big Bro

superdude17* · #5 (**permalink**) 09-22-2007, 11:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brother

So Guiliani scores big in a North Eastern Liberal state like NH. No one expects Thompson to win New Hampshire. Let's see how well Guiliani does down South.

Big Bro

he's actually polled quite well in south carolina and florida. i would get the polls but it is too late and i need to go soon.

Sebelius for VP, not Hillary · #6 (**permalink**) 09-22-2007, 11:47 PM

Have a look at the RCP chart, dude.

RealClearPolitics - RCP Poll Average Chart

Thompson is getting to close to Rudy. He's gone up 6% in the past 10 days. I don't think Rudy can contain Thompson. When it comes down, head-to-head Thompson is going to pound Rudy on the liberal positions he's taken:

anti-gun
pro-life
pro-gay rights
pro-illegals

There is enormous potential to whip Rudy with those issues.

superdude17* · #7 (**permalink**) 09-22-2007, 11:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by W.E.B. Du Bois

Have a look at the RCP chart, dude.

RealClearPolitics - RCP Poll Average Chart

Thompson is getting to close to Rudy. He's gone up 6% in the past 10 days. I don't think Rudy can contain Thompson. When it comes down, head-to-head Thompson is going to pound Rudy on the liberal positions he's taken:

anti-gun
pro-life
pro-gay rights
pro-illegals

There is enormous potential to whip Rudy with those issues.

as i said, once people see the true fred thompson he will slip and fall. he is lazy, grumpy, not charismatic, and not that smart. yes, they might be generalizations, but i have watched some of his stuff, for i am also a member of the party, and think rudy would be a much better president.

fred thompson supported terrorists and he knew they were