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Old 04-27-2008, 10:57 AM
alligam alligam is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 21
Hillary's 'Decisive' Pennsylvania Victory

Enough hog-wash already. Before PA, Clinton needed to win EVERY remaining contest with roughly 65% of the vote (that's a 30 pt margin for all you math gurus out there). Now that she won with a puny 9.2 pt margin, she needs to win the remaining contests by over 70%. Given that she will lose NC (by a large margin, taboot) she needs to win roughly 85% of the vote in ALL other contests (70 pt margin). Okay, yes, there are Super-Ds. But even giving Hillary unrealistic 20 pt margins in every remaining contest, she would need to convince roughly 75% of the super-D's to vote for 2nd place.

Frankly, I'm tired of hearing about Clinton's 'decisive' Pennsylvania win. I've already put it in context looking forward. But now, lets look at EVERY victory Obama has had since Feb 5th.

Obama's 11 contest sweep between Feb. 5 and March 4:

Louisiana -- 21 pt margin
Nebraska -- 36 pt margin
Washington -- 37 pt margin
Virgin Islands -- 84 pt margin
Maine -- 19 pt margin
Maryland -- 23 pt margin
Virginia -- 19 pt margin
DC -- 51 pt margin
Dems Abroad -- 33 pt margin
Hawaii -- 52 pt margin
Wisconsin -- 17 pt margin

His next three victories:

Vermont -- 20 pt margin
Wyoming -- 23 pt margin
Mississippi -- 24 pt margin


EVERY
win Obama has had since Feb 5th has been by a margin TWICE as large as Hillary's 'decisive' 9.2% victory...

Last edited by alligam : 04-27-2008 at 11:06 AM.
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